{"id":489794,"date":"2026-04-11T16:13:32","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T16:13:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.financialafrik.com\/en\/2026\/04\/11\/oil-follows-geopolitics-the-sun-on-the-other-hand-does-not-tribune-by-ali-alshimmari-general-director-of-global-south-utilities-gsu\/"},"modified":"2026-04-11T16:13:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T16:13:41","slug":"oil-follows-geopolitics-the-sun-on-the-other-hand-does-not-tribune-by-ali-alshimmari-general-director-of-global-south-utilities-gsu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.financialafrik.com\/en\/2026\/04\/11\/oil-follows-geopolitics-the-sun-on-the-other-hand-does-not-tribune-by-ali-alshimmari-general-director-of-global-south-utilities-gsu\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil follows geopolitics. The sun, on the other hand, does not – Tribune by Ali Alshimmari, General Director of Global South Utilities (GSU)"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>

Whenever a conflict breaks out somewhere in the world, energy markets react with remarkable speed. Oil prices change in a matter of hours. Maritime routes suddenly become a central strategic issue. Governments quietly reassess their reserves, supply chains, and vulnerabilities. Markets rediscover, almost overnight, a reality they tend to forget in times of calm: energy remains deeply intertwined with geopolitics.<\/p>\n

This pattern is nothing new. From the oil crises of the 1970s to more recent supply disruptions, periods of geopolitical tension regularly remind us that energy flows rarely evolve outside the turbulence of international politics. Pipelines cross borders. Tankers pass through narrow maritime chokepoints. A localized incident can have repercussions on markets thousands of kilometers away.<\/p>\n

Yet, over the past decade, another narrative has emerged in the global energy debate: the promise of renewable energies. Solar panels in deserts. Wind farms along coastlines. A perspective in which energy systems would be less exposed to the political fragility that often characterizes fossil fuel supply chains.<\/p>\n

It is an attractive vision. And, in many ways, it is already becoming a reality.<\/p>\n

For example, the United Arab Emirates has heavily invested in building a diversified energy system over the past decade. The country is currently dedicating 189 billion dirhams to major clean energy projects and infrastructure to support its carbon neutrality strategy by 2050, while maintaining a reliable and advanced electrical grid.<\/p>\n

By 2024, the UAE had exceeded 12 gigawatts of clean energy capacity. With 6.8 GW of renewable energy and 5.6 GW of nuclear energy, clean sources now account for over 30% of the country’s electricity production. These investments reflect a broader awareness: tomorrow’s energy security does not rely on simply replacing one source with another, but on building diversified systems capable of absorbing shocks.<\/p>\n

However, moments of geopolitical tension also remind us of a more discreet and complex truth: energy systems do not function solely within the framework of markets or political strategies. They also operate within the constraints imposed by nature.<\/p>\n

Oil prices can skyrocket overnight. Gas shipments can be redirected. Strategic reserves can be mobilized. The sun, however, has never followed a geopolitical timetable. The wind, too, has never adjusted its strength to market concerns.<\/p>\n

This does not diminish the importance of renewable energies. Solar and wind power are essential pillars of the transition to cleaner and more sustainable energy systems. But they also illustrate why resilience must be at the heart of modern energy policies.<\/p>\n

Contemporary economies depend on uninterrupted electricity supply. Hospitals, airports, data centers, digital networks, and increasingly, AI-related infrastructure rely on energy systems that must operate continuously. This is why energy security is no longer defined solely by access to resources, but also by the resilience of the systems that deliver them.<\/p>\n

Resilience relies on diversification. Solar is rapidly expanding, nuclear energy provides a stable base in countries like the UAE, and natural gas continues to offer flexible production in many markets. At the same time, stronger grids, energy storage, and digital monitoring systems are becoming as essential as production itself.<\/p>\n

Together, these elements help build systems capable of absorbing shocks, whether they are of geopolitical or climatic origin.<\/p>\n

Some critics argue that renewable infrastructure could also be vulnerable in times of conflict. Solar installations, like pipelines, refineries, or transmission lines, are not immune to disruptions. Global disruptions \u2014 both natural and geopolitical \u2014 combined with strained supply chains, are already delaying projects and increasing costs. According to sector estimates, these pressures can erode hundreds of millions of euros of value per gigawatt over the lifespan of a project.<\/p>\n

This is why the response is increasingly leaning towards localization. In Egypt, in 2025, we launched a $210 million solar industrial hub in the Suez Canal Economic Zone in partnership with Egyptian, Chinese, and Bahraini actors. The project includes two units with a combined annual capacity of 2 GW of solar cells and 2 GW of modules. While the module factory aims to meet regional demand in the Middle East and Africa, the cell unit is primarily for export. The goal is clear: reduce dependence on external disruptions and bring part of the energy transition closer to the markets it serves.<\/p>\n

Energy security has never meant invulnerability. It has always been based on resilience.<\/p>\n

Centralized installations can be unique points of vulnerability. Conversely, distributed renewable systems spread production across multiple sites, reducing the risk that a single disruption could paralyze the entire supply. The energy transition is therefore not only an environmental challenge, but also a strategic issue. It is not just about replacing one energy source with another, but about building systems capable of operating reliably in a world that is both politically unpredictable and environmentally variable.<\/p>\n

Recent geopolitical tensions have once again highlighted how quickly energy issues can return to the center of the global debate. But they have also shed light on a deeper reality. The future of energy will not be determined solely by politics or markets. It will also be shaped by much older and less negotiable forces. Oil markets may continue to follow geopolitics. The sun, however, will not.<\/p>\n

Building energy systems capable of thriving in this reality may well be one of the major strategic challenges of the decades to come.<\/p>\n

<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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